Obama Job Loss Chart

The Bikini Chart

The Obama administration released a chart a while ago that shows job losses during the last year of the Bush administration and the first year after Obama took office. The chart is simple yet effective in the way it communicates a message. It also has some very subtle design elements that communicate a much more negative undertone than is immediately obvious.

I have to say that I have admired this chart since the day it came out. It is clean with just the right amount of decoration to work: scales and legends that explain what we are seeing. The colors are based on the typical colors associated with the Republican Party (red) and the Democrats (blue). The data is also indisputable, coming from the Bureau of Labor Statistics.

The chart shows the number of jobs lost per month over about two years, ending in early 2010. The message is clear: things were getting worse under Bush but have been getting better under Obama. It doesn’t take a lot of skepticism or knowledge of politics to know that things don’t happen that quickly, but the message still comes across quite clearly. (Click image for larger version)

It is interesting that they chose to use bars that are pointing down rather than up. In a way, that makes sense: negative numbers typically are represented by bars that point down. But the number of people who lost their jobs is not negative, it’s only negative if you look at it as “negative job growth.” This was clearly a conscious decision. Since almost all the numbers are negative, it might have still made sense to show them pointing up though, to make the chart look less unusual. Its shape has earned the chart the nickname bikini chart, though.

But the downward-pointing bars communicate something beyond the values: there is something wrong here, these bars should not be pointing down. While longer bars are often better (more income, more votes, etc.), this is not the case here. This choice of direction for the bars explains what the viewer should be looking for.

The inverted version of the chart below shows why bars pointing up would have been much less clear: the shorter bars under Obama look like something is decreasing, which is surely is not a good thing, right?

All of these are good choices and make the chart both attractive and effective. This chart is one of the cleanest examples of political communication I know, and it is based on actual, real data – imagine that!

But there is also something devious going on here. The choice of colors is the only logical one given the political context, but there is more to it. The red is quite a bit darker than the blue. That is not a bad choice in principle, since it makes it easier to tell the colors apart when the difference is not only in hue but also in brightness. Of course, the blue could have been darker than the red as well.

The second design choice is one I only discovered fairly recently. It is a lot more obvious in the inverted image than the original, too: there is a gradient in both colors from light at the top to dark at the bottom. That is not very obvious in the original version, since we expect lighter colors at the tops of things and darker colors at their bases. After all, light tends to come from above, and the lower parts of things are where shadows are cast. Only in this case, the effect makes the brightness differences in the colors even stronger. The dark red is close to black, and the entire red-to-very-dark-red gradient is somewhat suggestive. What else is red and turns black? Drying blood.

In addition to that, I believe that the dark color, especially towards the lower end, makes the red bars appear heavier than the blue ones. Since they are also pointing down, the additional weight might make them appear longer, or at least cause people to remember them as longer. Vertical bars appear longer than horizontal ones of the same length, and it may well be that the combination of bars hanging down from a baseline and the heavier color have a similar effect.

This is unproven at this point, but if I am correct I think it opens up some interesting possibilities. It means that we need to be much more careful with our choice of color, since the perceived weight might influence the way the data is read and remembered. Even if long-term recall is not a goal in visualization, we have to remember what we just saw when we switch between views as we think about our data. Subtle shifts could make a big difference if they make some values appear just a bit larger or smaller than the others.

The bikini chart is a great example of just how strongly simple design choices can change the appearance of a simple bar chart. Even if my speculation about weight is wrong, the other choices communicate and explain what the viewer is supposed to look for, without the need for explanatory text or a “shorter bars are better” annotation. That’s pretty good for a simple bar chart.

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Robert Kosara

Robert Kosara is Senior Research Scientist at Tableau Software, and formerly Associate Professor of Computer Science. His research focus is the communication of data using visualization. In addition to blogging, Robert also runs and tweets.

12 thoughts on “The Bikini Chart”

  1. I enjoyed your take on this, Robert. Though I think your read on the colors is very speculative. A quick google search reveals several versions with different approaches to the color scheme. Some are balanced in saturation and lightness while others aren’t. I would offer that the strong possibility that the origin of the color scheme in the version you reviewed just might be insensitive and chosen by a perhaps untrained designer or computer scientist. I am, however, enthused by your love for the classic bar graph. I enjoyed this piece.

  2. The chart is mistitled as Job Loss. The numbers on the vertical axis are negative, which signifies negative job loss; taking the title and numbers as they’re displayed means more than -750,000 jobs were lost. But since the negative of a negative is a positive, that actually means more than 750,000 jobs were gained at the end of Bush’s term. I’m sure that’s not what the producer of the chart intended to show. That’s why to be correct, the chart should be titled Job Gains.

  3. By flipping the bars to point upward, you’ve inverted the vertical axis so that negative numbers of larger magnitude are positioned higher, which can be misleading–or at least confusing–because it defies convention. If you changed the vertical axis labels to positive numbers, that would be more accurate.

  4. The choice of colors and their saturation does appear odd. Perhaps they were chosen to maintain contrast in black & white printing? If so, they still could have gone with a more “Republican” red and “Democratic” blue.

    Because of this chart, I’m never going to look at another bikini the same.

  5. Rebert, you’re a product manager and your product is losing market share. You have to present that in a line chart. How will you color-code it? Red or blue?

    (I would use a nice and soothing blue…)

  6. Robert, Thanks for this deft analysis. It is great to see an appreciation for the subtle touches that can make a chart effective in communicating a message. The use of color gradient and axes shows that good visualization is a lot more than just a war on chart junk.

  7. I think the inversion is the most clever aspect – I don’t see doing this as a way to fake out the viewer – as you mention, it aids in understanding, while also promoting the point being made. Maybe the dried blood analogy is a little bit too much for me though. Nice analysis.

  8. Thanks for writing this up! The Bikini Chart will serve as a prime example of a rhetorical visualization for years to come, I’m sure. I’ve always thought this chart was a good response to the bikini chart. The power lies in the data set chosen – job gains/losses per month, which provided such a pleasing, symmetrical (and political valuable) chart formation. But when you look at the total percentage of jobs lost you realize the huge unemployment gap that still persists despite these job gains.

  9. Great analysis. I think the light blue is the “Obama blue” used very well in the now classic Change poster.

  10. “What else is red and turns black? Drying blood.”

    Really?!? Seriously?! Come on!

    I’m not looking forward to this US election season. Even the most normally sane and sober blogs are going a bit crazy…

  11. As for the chart, I’d have rather seen # of losses in full time jobs as many people, though working, are now on part-time vs. previous full time or holding multiple part-time jobs. Just to say they have a “job” doesn’t mean what it used to.

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